Sturm Ruger & Co: Short on High-Flyer PE, with Near Term Catalyst

Sturm, Ruger and Company

This stock is a high flier, which has increased growth and share price at a completely unsustainable rate over the past 5 years. The company also has a higher PE, which we think is not appropriate for the company. We do not like shorting high flying fast growing companies, but we explain a very clear...

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Manchester United: Short on Liquid Stock w/ Many of Issues

Manchester United

We are posting a short on the following very liquid stock. It does not have much coverage, but unsurpisingly, the coverage is always a buy or a ‘neutral.’ Cash flow is a serious problem and we think that net income will stagnate over the next several years. Management problems and share structure is another very...

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Cooper Standard: Mid Cap 60%+ Upside

Cooper Standard Holdings

We believe that based on a very conservative growth rate of 2% this mid cap stock with almost no analyst coverage has a 60%. upside. The company is growing its presence in both developed and emerging markets, thereby giving it a diversified  revenue stream. We apologize about the delayed post, we will be posting some more stock write ups shortly....

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Cooper Tire & Rubber: Mid Cap w/ 100% Upside, Market Misprices Political Problems

Cooper Tire & Rubber

This company has very little coverage. It is in the $1billion range. We think the company has a 100% upside based on conservative estimates using DCF. There are political risks involving potential tariffs, but we think that the company could actually benefit from tariffs. Treats will be sent out shortly, next write up will be...

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Valero Energy: Special Situation

Valero Energy

We focused on a mid cap stock this time, with a focus both on the company and a special situation involving a spin off. We believe that the spin off will further unlock hidden value, and can act as a catalyst. We have some treats coming soon including one very special one. Valero Energy (VLO)...

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Interactive Intelligence: Liquid, Small Coverage, Moat Getting Stronger

Interactive Intelligence

This company is exactly the type we aim to find. The company has a market cap slightly over $500 million, making it liquid, but it does not have much coverage. The stock has a 60% upside using conservative estimates. The company has been signing contracts with larger companies recently, and revenue has become more sticky....

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Dolby Laboratories: Underfollowed Liquid Stock with High Upside

Dolby Laboratories

We believe that this stock is extremely undervalued due to its association with other companies in this competitive industry. However, with the current valuation and low growth, the stock is selling at a significant premium. Free cash flow, revenues, and margins should all increase in the coming years despite secular trends facing other competitors.  There...

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Francesca’s Holdings: Short Pitch, Aggressive Accounting, Possible Fraud

Francesca's Holdings

This is a short pitch on a company which has a mid sized market cap. The company has very high margins, especially when looking at comps. The margins are unsustainable and likely are due to accounting gimmicks/fraud. Even a slight decrease in margins will have a huge impact on earnings per share. We have some...

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NextEra Energy: Boring Utility with Large Upside

NextEra Energy

This is a boring company in a boring sector. Exactly the type of value stock we like to focus on. Using a 2% growth rate, we think the company is still has a 42% upside. Downside risks we believe are low as mentioned in the article. We believe the stock price is teporarily depressed due...

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Copa Holdings: Short Cyclical Stock, Only Profitable 2x in Past 10 Yrs

Copa Holdings

This is a short thesis on a stock in our favorite (in this sense bad) cyclical industry. The company we believe is worth close to half of the current trading price. The company has only been profitable in TWO of the past ten years. The company also is being hurt by new regulations abroad and...

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